The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the Washington Nationals hold a record of 356-83-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +54.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $242 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record356-83-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size441 games
ROI+54.8%
Units Won+240.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201433-8-00.0%+53.7%
201532-8-10.0%+52.7%
201626-8-00.0%+46.0%
201722-9-00.0%+35.5%
201828-5-00.0%+62.0%
201934-8-00.0%+54.5%
202042-8-10.0%+60.4%
202135-7-00.0%+59.1%
202233-8-00.0%+53.7%
202333-3-00.0%+75.0%
202438-11-00.0%+48.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nationals' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered. This franchise has consistently demonstrated a knack for playing loose and aggressive baseball when the pressure shifts to their opponents. Washington's roster construction often features veteran players who excel in clutch situations and younger talents who play without the weight of heavy expectations. The team's strategic approach changes dramatically when cast as underdogs. Manager Davey Martinez has shown a willingness to deploy unconventional tactics, utilize deeper bullpen options, and give extended opportunities to role players who often rise to the occasion. The Nationals also benefit from playing in a competitive NL East where they're frequently undervalued by oddsmakers despite their familiarity with division rivals' tendencies. Washington's home ballpark dynamics play a crucial role, as Nationals Park can neutralize opposing offensive advantages through its pitcher-friendly dimensions. The team's analytical approach helps them identify favorable matchups that public perception might miss. This trend holds maximum value when Washington faces divisional opponents or quality starting pitchers where their underdog status seems inflated based on recent head-to-head performance or favorable underlying metrics.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as as underdog?

The Washington Nationals have a 356-83-2 ATS record when playing as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 81.1% ATS win rate over 441 games.

Is betting on the Washington Nationals as as underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 54.8% ROI. This means a $100 bet on every underdog game would have returned $54.80 in profit over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Nationals' 81.1% ATS rate as underdogs is exceptionally rare and represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.