The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Washington Nationals are just 450-469-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.5%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record450-469-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size921 games
ROI-6.5%
Units Won-59.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201448-46-00.0%-2.5%
201539-39-10.0%-4.5%
201633-41-00.0%-14.9%
201727-45-00.0%-28.4%
201836-44-00.0%-14.1%
201943-39-00.0%+0.1%
202054-49-10.0%+0.1%
202139-44-00.0%-10.3%
202244-42-00.0%-2.3%
202340-34-00.0%+3.2%
202447-46-00.0%-3.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Nationals' Sunday struggles stem from a combination of organizational philosophy and roster construction that historically favored weekday performance over weekend execution. Washington has consistently prioritized veteran leadership and analytical approaches that work better in standard game situations rather than the unique dynamics of Sunday baseball, where day games, travel schedules, and bullpen management create different strategic demands. Sunday games often expose the Nationals' tendency to rely heavily on starting pitching depth, which becomes problematic when weekend series require more bullpen creativity and unconventional lineup decisions. The franchise's analytical approach, while effective during the week, hasn't translated well to Sunday's more unpredictable game flow, where managerial instincts often matter more than data-driven decisions. The recent improvement suggests a shift in organizational culture, particularly with newer coaching staff better equipped to handle Sunday's unique challenges. However, the underlying issues with roster flexibility and in-game adjustments remain concerns. Bettors should be most cautious with Washington on Sundays when they're playing day games on the road, especially in the second half of weekend series where their systematic approach clashes most dramatically with the looser, more improvisational nature of Sunday baseball.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as sunday games?

The Washington Nationals have an ATS record of 450-469-2 in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This represents a below-.500 performance against the spread in Sunday contests.

Is betting on the Washington Nationals as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Nationals in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -6.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Nationals ATS on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Nationals' 48.9% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the typical 50% expectation for spread betting. Their -6.5% ROI indicates significantly worse performance than break-even betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.