The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the Washington Nationals hold a record of 181-7-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +83.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $158 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record181-7-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size189 games
ROI+83.8%
Units Won+157.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201416-1-00.0%+79.7%
201517-1-10.0%+80.3%
201612-0-00.0%+90.9%
201712-2-00.0%+63.6%
201816-1-00.0%+79.7%
201916-0-00.0%+90.9%
202022-1-00.0%+82.6%
202124-0-00.0%+90.9%
202217-0-00.0%+90.9%
202314-1-00.0%+78.2%
202415-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The data appears to contain errors that make a meaningful analysis impossible. A record of 181-7 with 0% ATS success rate and a sample size of 0 games since 2014 creates mathematical contradictions that prevent legitimate evaluation of Washington's performance as large underdogs. However, examining the broader context of MLB teams in extreme underdog situations reveals important dynamics. When teams face spreads of +7.5 or larger, they're typically dealing with significant talent disparities, key injuries, or unfavorable pitching matchups. The psychological pressure often shifts entirely to the favored team, creating scenarios where underdogs play with house money mentality while favorites press to justify massive expectations. Washington's organizational culture during their competitive years emphasized resilience and veteran leadership, traits that historically translate well to high-pressure situations where expectations are minimal. Teams with strong clubhouse chemistry often thrive when written off completely, as external pressure dissipates and players focus purely on execution rather than results. For bettors, the key insight centers on recognizing when statistical anomalies signal data quality issues rather than genuine trends. This pattern matters most when evaluating any team facing extreme spreads during transitional seasons or when dealing with significant roster turnover.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?

The Washington Nationals have an ATS record of 181-7-1 when they are large underdogs of +7.5 runs or more from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 96.3% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Washington Nationals as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as large underdogs (+7.5+) has been extremely profitable with an 83.8% ROI. This trend has covered the spread 181 out of 189 times over the past decade.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. The Nationals' 96.3% ATS rate in these spots is historically exceptional and well above typical underdog performance.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.