Washington Nationals Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Washington Nationals hold a record of 173-48-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +49.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $110 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2015 | 17-6-0 | 0.0% | +41.1% |
| 2016 | 11-6-0 | 0.0% | +23.5% |
| 2017 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 22-6-0 | 0.0% | +50.0% |
| 2020 | 21-5-1 | 0.0% | +54.2% |
| 2021 | 16-5-0 | 0.0% | +45.5% |
| 2022 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2023 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2024 | 20-7-0 | 0.0% | +41.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered. Washington has consistently been a team that performs better when the pressure is off, allowing their young talent to play freely without the weight of heavy favorites status. Their home ballpark advantage at Nationals Park becomes amplified when they're getting plus money, as the intimate venue creates an atmosphere where momentum swings quickly in their favor. The franchise's recent success in this role reflects their strong player development system and depth, particularly in their bullpen and bench players who often make the difference in tight games. When oddsmakers undervalue Washington at home, they're typically overlooking the team's ability to manufacture runs through situational hitting and their pitching staff's knack for keeping games close enough for late-inning heroics. The psychological edge of being dismissed by the betting market often galvanizes this clubhouse, creating a "prove them wrong" mentality that translates directly to on-field execution. Bettors should target Washington as home underdogs specifically in divisional matchups and when facing teams on lengthy road trips, as these scenarios maximize their competitive advantages while the market remains skeptical of their capabilities.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as home underdog?
The Washington Nationals have an outstanding 173-48-1 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 78.3% ATS win rate over 222 games.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Nationals as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 49.4% ROI. This means a $100 bettor would have earned $49.40 in profit over this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Nationals' 78.3% ATS rate as home underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical MLB trends.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
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All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.