Washington Nationals Away Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Nationals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Washington Nationals are just 230-236-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26-27-0 | 0.0% | -6.3% |
| 2015 | 18-19-1 | 0.0% | -7.1% |
| 2016 | 18-17-0 | 0.0% | -1.8% |
| 2017 | 12-25-0 | 0.0% | -38.1% |
| 2018 | 21-24-0 | 0.0% | -10.9% |
| 2019 | 17-16-0 | 0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2020 | 27-25-0 | 0.0% | -0.9% |
| 2021 | 20-21-0 | 0.0% | -6.9% |
| 2022 | 24-24-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 27-17-0 | 0.0% | +17.1% |
| 2024 | 20-21-0 | 0.0% | -6.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Nationals' mediocre road performance stems largely from their organizational philosophy during the competitive window from 2012-2019. Washington built their identity around maximizing home-field advantage at Nationals Park, where their pitching staff thrived in the pitcher-friendly confines and familiar mound conditions. This home-centric approach created a stark contrast when facing different ballpark dimensions, mound heights, and atmospheric conditions on the road. The franchise's reliance on veteran leadership and established routines also worked against them away from home. Players like Ryan Zimmerman and Jayson Werth were creatures of habit who performed best in familiar environments. When the team transitioned to younger, more adaptable players in recent years, their road struggles began to normalize, explaining the improved recent form. Washington's front office historically prioritized pitchers who succeeded in their home environment rather than well-rounded arms who could adapt to various conditions. This strategy created artificial inflation of home performance while deflating road expectations, leading to consistent underperformance against the spread away from D.C. The trend matters most when the Nationals face teams with strong home-field advantages in extreme pitcher's or hitter's parks, where their historical inability to adapt becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Nationals's ATS record as away games?
The Washington Nationals have a 230-236-1 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.4% win rate against the spread over 467 total games.
Is betting on the Washington Nationals as away games profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Nationals in away games has not been profitable, showing a -5.8% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Bettors would have lost approximately 5.8 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Nationals' 49.4% ATS win rate in away games is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This underperformance of 0.6 percentage points has resulted in consistent losses for bettors over the decade-long sample.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.