Texas Rangers vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Texas Rangers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the Texas Rangers are just 138-164-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.8%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2015 | 13-15-0 | 0.0% | -11.4% |
| 2016 | 11-15-0 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
| 2017 | 11-17-0 | 0.0% | -25.0% |
| 2018 | 12-22-0 | 0.0% | -32.6% |
| 2019 | 5-12-0 | 0.0% | -43.9% |
| 2020 | 13-14-0 | 0.0% | -8.1% |
| 2021 | 25-22-0 | 0.0% | +1.6% |
| 2022 | 17-10-0 | 0.0% | +20.2% |
| 2023 | 10-15-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2024 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rangers' struggles against conference opponents stem from the inherent familiarity and strategic adjustments that come with divisional play. American League West teams have extensive scouting reports on Texas pitching tendencies and offensive approaches, leading to more targeted game plans that exploit specific weaknesses. The Rangers have historically struggled with consistency in their starting rotation depth, which becomes magnified when facing teams that see them 19 times per season and can better time their ace matchups. Texas also tends to play more conservatively in division games, often managing for series wins rather than individual game dominance. This approach can lead to closer games that don't cover spreads, particularly when the Rangers are favored. Their bullpen usage patterns become predictable to division rivals, who can better prepare for specific relief situations and exploit matchup advantages. The psychological pressure of division games creates additional variance, as these contests directly impact playoff positioning and team morale. Rangers hitters have shown tendencies to press in crucial division matchups, leading to feast-or-famine offensive performances that make spread betting challenging. This trend matters most during the final two months of the season when division standings tighten and every game carries playoff implications, making the Rangers particularly vulnerable to underperforming expectations against familiar foes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The Texas Rangers have an ATS record of 138-164-0 when playing against conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.7% ATS win rate over 302 games.
Is betting on the Texas Rangers as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Texas Rangers against conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -12.8% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the spread in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rangers' 45.7% ATS win rate against conference opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -12.8% ROI suggests significantly worse performance than typical MLB teams in similar situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.