The public often underestimates the Texas Rangers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Texas Rangers hold a record of 47-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +18.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record47-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size76 games
ROI+18.1%
Units Won+13.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-2-00.0%+36.4%
20156-3-00.0%+27.3%
20166-4-00.0%+14.6%
20174-1-00.0%+52.7%
20182-3-00.0%-23.6%
20191-4-00.0%-61.8%
20203-2-00.0%+14.6%
20218-3-00.0%+38.8%
20225-1-00.0%+59.1%
20233-3-00.0%-4.5%
20244-3-00.0%+9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rangers' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a resilient, veteran-heavy club that thrives when expectations are tempered. When facing slight disadvantages, Texas benefits from reduced pressure while maintaining competitive lineups that can exploit opposing teams' overconfidence. The narrow spread typically indicates evenly matched contests where intangibles like clubhouse leadership and situational hitting become decisive factors. Texas historically constructs rosters built for grinding out wins rather than dominating opponents, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers view them as slight underdogs. Their veteran core responds well to adversity, often elevating their play when perceived as the inferior team. The Rangers also benefit from strong bullpen depth in these scenarios, as close games frequently come down to late-inning execution where experience matters most. The psychological edge cannot be understated – when Texas enters as small underdogs, they're typically facing quality opponents in competitive matchups where their proven ability to manufacture runs and execute fundamentally sound baseball creates value against inflated favorites. This trend carries the most weight during divisional matchups and interleague play, where familiarity breeds competitive balance and the Rangers' veteran savvy can neutralize talent disparities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Texas Rangers have a 47-29-0 ATS record when playing as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 61.8% ATS win rate over 76 games.

Is betting on the Texas Rangers as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Texas Rangers as small underdogs has been highly profitable with an 18.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 61.8% ATS win rate in these situations significantly exceeds the break-even threshold.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rangers' 61.8% ATS win rate as small underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. This represents one of the more profitable betting angles in baseball over the past decade.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.