The Texas Rangers show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 143-139-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.2%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record143-139-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size283 games
ROI-3.2%
Units Won-9.0u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201411-15-00.0%-19.2%
201512-14-00.0%-11.9%
201615-13-00.0%+2.3%
201712-16-00.0%-18.2%
201811-14-00.0%-16.0%
201913-15-00.0%-11.4%
202015-10-00.0%+14.6%
202117-12-10.0%+11.9%
202215-4-00.0%+50.7%
202312-15-00.0%-15.2%
202410-11-00.0%-9.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rangers' mediocre performance with extended rest reflects the organization's historical approach to roster construction and pitching philosophy. Texas has traditionally built lineups around power hitters who thrive on rhythm and consistent at-bats, making extended layoffs particularly disruptive to their offensive flow. When hitters like Josh Hamilton, Adrian Beltre, and more recently Corey Seager get multiple days off, they often struggle to time premium velocity upon return. The team's pitching staff composition also plays a crucial role. The Rangers have frequently relied on veteran starters who benefit more from regular work than extended rest, as their command and feel for secondary pitches can deteriorate with too much time between outings. This is especially pronounced with their slider-heavy pitchers who need consistent repetition to maintain their breaking ball sharpness. From a strategic standpoint, Texas managers have historically been aggressive with lineup changes during extended breaks, often disrupting chemistry that develops through regular play. The club's tendency to platoon certain positions becomes more pronounced with extra planning time, sometimes overthinking matchups rather than riding hot hands. Bettors should be most cautious backing the Rangers with three-plus days rest when facing teams coming off regular rest, particularly in divisional matchups where familiarity already favors the opposition.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Texas Rangers have an ATS record of 143-139-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below-average performance against the spread over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Texas Rangers as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Texas Rangers with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -3.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their near .500 ATS record, the negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

Without specific league average data provided, the Rangers' 50.5% ATS win rate with three or more days rest appears close to the expected 50% baseline. However, the -3.2% ROI suggests they may underperform relative to typical market expectations in this situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.