Texas Rangers Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Texas Rangers show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 70-70-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2015 | 11-9-0 | 0.0% | +5.0% |
| 2016 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2017 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2018 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2019 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2020 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2021 | 4-6-1 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 8-5-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2023 | 9-7-0 | 0.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024 | 5-7-0 | 0.0% | -20.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rangers' mediocre performance against division rivals at home stems from the intense familiarity these teams have with each other's tendencies. AL West opponents face Texas multiple times per season, allowing them to exploit the Rangers' pitching patterns and defensive alignments more effectively than unfamiliar clubs. This dynamic is particularly pronounced at Globe Life Field, where visiting division teams have extensive scouting reports on how the ballpark's dimensions and conditions affect Rangers hitters. Texas historically struggles with the psychological pressure of division games at home, where fan expectations run highest. The Rangers' inconsistent starting rotation over recent seasons becomes magnified against division foes who've studied their pitchers extensively through multiple matchups. Additionally, the team's tendency to rely heavily on their bullpen creates predictable late-game situations that experienced AL West managers can exploit. The Rangers' home field advantage diminishes significantly when facing teams that visit Arlington 9-10 times per year, as these opponents become comfortable with the venue's unique characteristics and crowd dynamics. This trend carries the most weight during crucial late-season series when division standings are tight, as the Rangers' home struggles against familiar opponents can derail playoff positioning when games matter most.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Texas Rangers have gone 70-70-1 against the spread (ATS) when playing at home versus division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a .500 winning percentage with 141 total games tracked.
Is betting on the Texas Rangers as home vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Texas Rangers at home vs division rivals has not been profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses due to juice/vig over this 11-year period.
How does this compare to the league average?
While the Rangers' 50% ATS win rate matches the expected break-even point, the -4.5% ROI is typical for most betting scenarios due to sportsbook margins. Most teams hover around 48-52% ATS with similar negative ROI when accounting for betting costs.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.