The Texas Rangers show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 236-235-2 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.3%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record236-235-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size473 games
ROI-4.3%
Units Won-20.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-27-00.0%-34.8%
201524-25-00.0%-6.5%
201621-17-00.0%+5.5%
201714-23-00.0%-27.8%
201825-29-00.0%-11.6%
201916-16-10.0%-4.5%
202023-22-00.0%-2.4%
202129-26-10.0%+0.7%
202228-11-00.0%+37.1%
202317-22-00.0%-16.8%
202425-17-00.0%+13.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rangers' perfectly balanced home ATS record reveals a franchise caught between competing identities over the past decade. Globe Life Field's climate-controlled environment eliminated the extreme heat advantage that once made Arlington a pitcher's graveyard, fundamentally altering how oddsmakers price Rangers home games. The team's inconsistent roster construction has created a boom-bust cycle where strong seasons like 2022's championship run are followed by rebuilding phases that leave them vulnerable to inflated home favorites. Texas has historically struggled with the psychological weight of home expectations, particularly during their competitive windows when public betting heavily favors them at Globe Life Field. The franchise's tendency to underperform as chalk stems from their offensive volatility - when the bats go cold, their pitching staff lacks the depth to keep games close against quality opponents. This creates value fade scenarios where the Rangers are overpriced based on name recognition rather than current form. Smart bettors should target Rangers home games when they're moderate to heavy favorites during cold stretches, as the market often overvalues their offensive potential in the controlled environment. This trend matters most during April and May when early-season optimism inflates their home prices before reality sets in.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Texas Rangers's ATS record as home games?

The Texas Rangers have a 236-235-2 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This represents a nearly even split against the spread with a slight edge to the under.

Is betting on the Texas Rangers as home games profitable?

No, betting on the Texas Rangers in home games has not been profitable, showing a -4.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the close ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig costs.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rangers' home ATS performance is slightly below the theoretical 50% break-even point at home. The -4.3% ROI is typical for most teams when factoring in sportsbook margins, as even close-to-even ATS records rarely overcome the built-in house edge.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.