Tampa Bay Rays vs Division Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the Tampa Bay Rays are just 137-147-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -7.9% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +7.9%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-14-0 | 0.0% | -25.3% |
| 2015 | 10-11-0 | 0.0% | -9.1% |
| 2016 | 15-9-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2017 | 9-11-0 | 0.0% | -14.1% |
| 2018 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2019 | 11-15-0 | 0.0% | -19.2% |
| 2020 | 21-8-0 | 0.0% | +38.2% |
| 2021 | 13-9-0 | 0.0% | +12.8% |
| 2022 | 10-19-0 | 0.0% | -34.2% |
| 2023 | 13-19-0 | 0.0% | -22.4% |
| 2024 | 13-20-0 | 0.0% | -24.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rays' struggles against division opponents stem from their organizational philosophy of maximizing value through strategic roster construction and tactical innovation. While this approach works well against unfamiliar opponents who haven't adapted to Tampa Bay's unique strategies, division rivals see the Rays 19 times per season and develop specific countermeasures to their shifting defensive alignments, bullpen usage patterns, and platoon-heavy lineups. Tampa Bay's reliance on openers, bulk relievers, and constant positional shifts becomes predictable within the division, where managers have extensive video study and familiarity with personnel tendencies. The Rays' smaller payroll also means they're more vulnerable to the arms races that occur within divisions, as teams like the Yankees and Red Sox can make targeted acquisitions specifically designed to exploit Tampa Bay's weaknesses. The extreme variance in their divisional performance reflects how matchup-dependent their system truly is. When their innovations catch opponents off-guard or when they have superior talent depth, they dominate. When division rivals adapt or Tampa Bay faces personnel shortages, the wheels come off quickly. This trend matters most early in seasons when division opponents are still adjusting to Tampa Bay's latest tactical wrinkles, and during September when familiarity breeds the most predictable outcomes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as vs division opponent?
The Tampa Bay Rays have gone 137-147-0 ATS (against the spread) when playing division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.2% ATS win rate over 284 games.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as vs division opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays against division opponents has not been profitable. With a -7.9% ROI over this period, bettors would have lost money consistently backing Tampa Bay in divisional matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rays' 48.2% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the typical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. This underperformance against divisional rivals suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in these matchups.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.