The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Tampa Bay Rays hold a record of 47-29-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +18.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $14 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record47-29-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size76 games
ROI+18.1%
Units Won+13.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-3-00.0%-4.5%
20157-4-00.0%+21.5%
20168-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-1-00.0%+27.3%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20192-3-00.0%-23.6%
20208-5-00.0%+17.5%
20213-1-00.0%+43.2%
20225-6-00.0%-13.2%
20232-3-00.0%-23.6%
20243-2-00.0%+14.6%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rays' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as baseball's ultimate value maximizers. Tampa Bay thrives when slightly undervalued because their analytical approach creates edges that oddsmakers often miss by small margins. The team's depth-heavy roster construction means they rarely face true talent deficits in close spreads, while their innovative pitching strategies like openers and bullpen games can catch opponents off-guard in tightly contested matchups. Their culture of playing with house money mentality kicks in strongest when facing minimal disrespect from the betting market. Unlike teams that crumble under underdog pressure, the Rays embrace these spots because they align with their season-long narrative of exceeding expectations despite payroll constraints. The franchise's ability to develop overlooked talent means their lineup often contains players performing above their perceived value, creating situations where small underdog lines don't reflect true competitive balance. Tampa Bay's tactical flexibility becomes most pronounced in these scenarios, as manager decisions carry extra weight in close games where marginal advantages matter most. Bettors should target Rays small underdog spots specifically in divisional games and against teams with inflated public perception, where the line movement often creates the perfect storm for value. This trend holds maximum relevance during summer months when Tampa Bay's depth advantages become most apparent through the grind of a long season.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 47-29-0 when they are small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 61.8% ATS win rate in these situations.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with an 18.1% ROI from 2014-2024. This positive return indicates consistent value in backing the Rays in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Rays' 61.8% ATS win rate and 18.1% ROI as small underdogs significantly outperforms typical league averages. Most teams hover around 50% ATS with minimal long-term ROI, making Tampa Bay's performance in this situation exceptional.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.