The Tampa Bay Rays show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 139-137-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record139-137-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size276 games
ROI-3.9%
Units Won-10.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201410-12-00.0%-13.2%
201512-12-00.0%-4.5%
201613-10-00.0%+7.9%
201713-12-00.0%-0.7%
201813-14-00.0%-8.1%
201913-14-00.0%-8.1%
202012-13-00.0%-8.4%
202113-11-00.0%+3.4%
202210-15-00.0%-23.6%
202317-10-00.0%+20.2%
202413-14-00.0%-8.1%

Why This Trend Exists

The Rays' neutral performance with extended rest reflects their organizational philosophy of maximizing efficiency rather than relying on traditional rhythm-based approaches. Tampa Bay's analytics-driven front office has consistently built rosters that emphasize versatility and depth, meaning their players are conditioned to perform regardless of layoff duration. Unlike teams that depend heavily on momentum or routine, the Rays' system-based approach creates consistent expectations whether players are coming off one day of rest or five. This trend particularly manifests in their pitching staff construction. The Rays pioneered the "opener" strategy and bullpen games, meaning their arms are already accustomed to irregular usage patterns. When the team gets extra rest, it doesn't dramatically alter their established game plans or create unfamiliar situations that might benefit or harm performance. Their hitters, similarly, are coached to adapt to varying pitcher types and situations, making extended layoffs less disruptive to their offensive approach. The key insight for bettors is to avoid overvaluing rest advantages when backing Tampa Bay. Their systematic approach neutralizes what might be an edge for other clubs. This trend matters most during playoff races and series transitions, when rest differentials between teams become more pronounced and oddsmakers may incorrectly price Tampa Bay's rest advantage.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as three or more days rest?

The Tampa Bay Rays have gone 139-137-0 against the spread when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a slightly below .500 ATS record over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as three or more days rest profitable?

No, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -3.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the nearly even ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to the vig.

How does this compare to the league average?

Without specific league average data provided, the Rays' 50.4% ATS win rate with extended rest appears close to the expected 50% baseline. The -3.9% ROI suggests performance slightly worse than typical market expectations when accounting for betting juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.