Tampa Bay Rays One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Tampa Bay Rays are just 77-78-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2015 | 9-8-0 | 0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2016 | 11-7-0 | 0.0% | +16.7% |
| 2017 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2018 | 7-10-0 | 0.0% | -21.4% |
| 2019 | 9-3-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2021 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2022 | 2-14-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2023 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rays' struggles on one day's rest stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes long-term player health over short-term competitive advantages. Tampa Bay's front office has consistently implemented strict pitch counts and workload management protocols, making their pitchers particularly vulnerable when forced into abbreviated rest scenarios. Unlike teams with deeper rotations or more traditional approaches, the Rays rely heavily on opener strategies and bullpen games that become significantly more challenging to execute when relievers are unavailable due to recent usage. The team's analytical approach also works against them in these situations. While their data-driven decisions typically provide edges over full rest periods, the smaller sample sizes and increased variables present in one-day rest scenarios make their models less reliable. The Rays' younger pitching staff, often featuring prospects and reclamation projects rather than seasoned veterans, lacks the experience to effectively manage the physical and mental demands of pitching on short rest. Smart bettors should target fading Tampa Bay when they're playing on one day's rest, particularly during the regular season when the organization has less incentive to push players beyond their comfort zones. This trend becomes most significant during compressed scheduling periods like makeup games or late-season series where rest advantages compound.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as one day rest?
The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 77-78-0 (49.7%) when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This represents 155 total games over the 11-year period.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays on one day of rest has not been profitable, showing a -5.2% ROI over the past decade. Bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Rays in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Rays' 49.7% ATS win rate on one day of rest is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This underperformance, while marginal, has resulted in negative returns for bettors over the long term.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.