Tampa Bay Rays Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Rays in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Tampa Bay Rays hold a record of 387-74-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +60.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $278 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 29-9-0 | 0.0% | +45.7% |
| 2015 | 38-5-0 | 0.0% | +68.7% |
| 2016 | 41-3-0 | 0.0% | +77.9% |
| 2017 | 35-3-0 | 0.0% | +75.8% |
| 2018 | 32-8-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 37-6-0 | 0.0% | +64.3% |
| 2020 | 45-9-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 38-5-0 | 0.0% | +68.7% |
| 2022 | 27-13-0 | 0.0% | +28.9% |
| 2023 | 39-7-0 | 0.0% | +61.9% |
| 2024 | 26-6-0 | 0.0% | +55.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Rays' exceptional performance as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational philosophy that thrives when expectations are lowest. Tampa Bay has built a culture around being overlooked, using advanced analytics and strategic roster construction to maximize value from undervalued players. When national audiences tune in expecting to see the Rays get dominated by marquee opponents, they instead witness a team that consistently outperforms its perceived talent level through superior preparation and execution. The franchise's "openers" strategy and aggressive bullpen usage particularly shine under the bright lights, as opposing teams often struggle to adapt their game plans mid-contest. Tampa Bay's players respond exceptionally well to the underdog narrative, playing with the chip-on-their-shoulder mentality that has defined successful small-market franchises. Their analytical approach to matchups becomes even more pronounced in primetime spots, where they've likely identified specific advantages that the betting market hasn't properly valued. Smart bettors should view Tampa Bay primetime underdog spots as premium opportunities, particularly when facing traditional powerhouse franchises where the public perception gap is widest. This trend carries maximum weight during nationally televised weekend series and playoff races when casual money heavily favors the bigger names.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Rays's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Tampa Bay Rays have an ATS record of 387-74-0 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 83.9% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Rays as primetime underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 60.3% ROI. This means for every $100 wagered, bettors would have earned $60.30 in profit on average.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league averages, as most teams hover around 50% ATS and positive ROI is rare. The Rays' 83.9% ATS rate as primetime underdogs represents one of the most profitable betting trends in MLB.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.