St. Louis Cardinals vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 150-177-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -12.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +12.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-20-0 | 0.0% | -24.8% |
| 2015 | 12-16-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2016 | 10-16-0 | 0.0% | -26.6% |
| 2017 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 11-22-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 12-14-0 | 0.0% | -11.9% |
| 2020 | 21-13-0 | 0.0% | +17.9% |
| 2021 | 13-18-0 | 0.0% | -19.9% |
| 2022 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2023 | 15-22-0 | 0.0% | -22.6% |
| 2024 | 17-8-0 | 0.0% | +29.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' struggles against conference opponents stem from their historically conservative organizational approach that prioritizes consistency over explosive offensive output. This methodical style, while effective in building sustainable success, often fails to cover spreads against familiar National League foes who have extensive scouting reports and can exploit St. Louis's predictable tendencies. The team's reliance on fundamentals and "Cardinal Way" baseball creates situations where they win games but fail to dominate by margins that satisfy betting lines. Their recent improvement in 2024 suggests a tactical evolution under current management, incorporating more aggressive baserunning and situational hitting that catches division rivals off-guard. However, the Cardinals' traditional emphasis on pitching depth over star power means they frequently enter games as slight favorites in matchups where the betting public overvalues their reputation, creating inflated lines that work against bettors backing St. Louis. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Cardinals face teams with significant roster turnover or managerial changes, as these opponents lack the institutional knowledge to exploit St. Louis's systematic weaknesses. This trend becomes most critical during divisional series and interleague play against National League opponents, where familiarity breeds contempt and tight margins become the norm.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The St. Louis Cardinals have gone 150-177-0 against the spread when facing conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.9% ATS win rate over 327 games.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Cardinals vs conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -12.4% ROI over the past decade. This negative return indicates consistent underperformance against the betting lines.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Cardinals' 45.9% ATS win rate vs conference opponents is below the theoretical 50% break-even point expected in sports betting. Their -12.4% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads in these matchups more than the average team.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.