St. Louis Cardinals Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the St. Louis Cardinals hold a record of 38-28-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +9.9% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $7 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2015 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2016 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2017 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 5-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2021 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2024 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of grinding out wins when expectations are modest. St. Louis thrives in these spots because they're typically facing quality opponents where the talent gap is minimal, allowing their veteran leadership and situational hitting to shine. The franchise's emphasis on fundamentals and late-game execution becomes magnified when oddsmakers view them as slight underdogs, often undervaluing their ability to manufacture runs and execute in clutch moments. Their pitching staff historically performs better when there's less pressure to dominate, focusing on keeping games close rather than overpowering opponents. The Cardinals' patient offensive approach works particularly well against ace pitchers they typically face in these scenarios, as they excel at working deep counts and capitalizing on mistakes. The team's veteran core understands how to navigate tight games, while their bullpen depth often provides an edge in the later innings when games are decided. Bettors should target Cardinals small underdog spots when they're facing teams with overvalued starting pitchers or in divisional matchups where familiarity breeds competitive games. This trend matters most during summer months when the Cardinals' experience and conditioning advantages become pronounced, and in series finales where their pride factor elevates performance regardless of recent struggles.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 38-28-1 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 57.6% ATS win rate over 67 games in this situation.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cardinals as small underdogs has been profitable with a 9.9% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 57.6% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is well above league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Cardinals' 57.6% win rate as small underdogs represents a strong edge over typical expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.