St. Louis Cardinals Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as three or more days rest, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 132-148-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 10-12-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2015 | 11-20-0 | 0.0% | -32.3% |
| 2016 | 14-11-0 | 0.0% | +6.9% |
| 2017 | 12-15-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2018 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2019 | 15-9-1 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2020 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2021 | 16-10-0 | 0.0% | +17.5% |
| 2022 | 8-15-0 | 0.0% | -33.6% |
| 2023 | 10-18-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2024 | 20-8-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' struggles with extended rest reflect a fundamental mismatch between their organizational identity and the rhythm disruption that comes with three-plus days off. St. Louis has traditionally built their success around consistent execution, veteran leadership, and "Cardinal Way" fundamentals that thrive on routine and momentum. When this rhythm gets broken by extended layoffs, the team often appears rusty and out of sync, particularly in their approach at the plate where timing is everything. Extended rest periods frequently coincide with series transitions or weather postponements that disrupt the Cardinals' carefully managed pitching rotations. Their recent success in 2024 suggests they may have finally adapted their preparation methods, but historically, the team has struggled to maintain their aggressive baserunning and situational hitting edge when coming off long breaks. The veteran-heavy clubhouse culture that serves them well during regular play can actually work against them when players overthink rather than rely on instincts after time away. Smart bettors should consider fading the Cardinals as favorites when they return from extended rest, especially in day games where the adjustment period is compressed. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when rest comes from rainouts rather than scheduled breaks, as these unplanned interruptions create the most disruption to their established routines.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The St. Louis Cardinals have an ATS record of 132-148-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This translates to a 47.0% ATS win rate over 281 games.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Cardinals with three or more days rest has not been profitable, showing a -10.0% ROI. This indicates consistent losses for bettors backing St. Louis in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Cardinals' 47.0% ATS win rate with extended rest is below the typical league average of around 50%. Their -10.0% ROI also suggests they consistently underperform expectations in this spot compared to most teams.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.