St. Louis Cardinals Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the St. Louis Cardinals hold a record of 119-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +51.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $77 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-1-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2015 | 13-5-0 | 0.0% | +37.9% |
| 2016 | 13-11-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2017 | 10-1-0 | 0.0% | +73.5% |
| 2018 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2019 | 11-1-0 | 0.0% | +75.0% |
| 2020 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2021 | 11-2-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2022 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2023 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2024 | 14-3-0 | 0.0% | +57.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered. St. Louis has historically been a franchise that responds well to adversity, with veteran leadership that prevents panic when facing modest deficits. When oddsmakers set them as medium underdogs, it often reflects temporary concerns about pitching matchups or recent offensive struggles rather than fundamental team weaknesses. The Cardinals benefit significantly from their deep organizational knowledge and strategic flexibility in these spots. Their front office and coaching staff excel at making subtle adjustments that aren't immediately apparent to the betting public but prove decisive over larger samples. Whether it's deploying specific relievers against certain lineups or making strategic defensive shifts, St. Louis consistently finds edges that casual bettors miss when evaluating medium underdog scenarios. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Cardinals are catching medium underdog numbers due to public perception rather than legitimate disadvantages. Their strong recent form suggests this pattern remains intact, making them particularly valuable when the line appears driven by narrative rather than statistical reality. This trend matters most during divisional play and against teams with inflated public backing, where the Cardinals' steady approach creates consistent value.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The St. Louis Cardinals have an outstanding 119-31-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This translates to a remarkable 79.3% ATS win rate in this betting situation.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Cardinals as medium underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 51.5% ROI. This represents one of the most profitable betting trends in baseball over the past decade.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Cardinals' 79.3% cover rate as medium underdogs is exceptionally rare and well above normal expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.