The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 80-375-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.4%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record80-375-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size456 games
ROI-66.4%
Units Won-302.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-45-00.0%-80.9%
20155-41-00.0%-79.2%
20164-23-00.0%-71.7%
20174-34-00.0%-79.9%
20187-40-00.0%-71.6%
201914-30-10.0%-39.3%
202010-30-00.0%-52.3%
202112-33-00.0%-49.1%
20224-31-00.0%-78.2%
20237-41-00.0%-72.2%
20248-27-00.0%-56.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' struggles as favorites stem from their organizational philosophy that emphasizes consistency over dominance. St. Louis has historically built teams around solid fundamentals, veteran leadership, and "Cardinal Way" baseball rather than overwhelming talent that crushes inferior opponents. This approach creates competitive games even against weaker teams, as the Cardinals rarely blow out opponents the way other powerhouse franchises do. Their roster construction typically features contact hitters and crafty pitchers rather than elite power threats and strikeout artists. This style keeps games closer than the betting market anticipates, especially when oddsmakers price them as significant favorites based on record rather than run differential. The Cardinals also tend to rest key players more frequently when favored against weaker opponents, viewing these games as opportunities to develop younger talent rather than statement wins. The psychological factor cannot be ignored either. St. Louis players often approach games with workmanlike attitudes rather than killer instincts, leading to flat performances against teams they're expected to handle easily. This mentality becomes particularly problematic in day games following night wins, where the veteran-heavy roster can appear complacent. This trend matters most when the Cardinals are road favorites of -150 or greater against rebuilding teams, where their conservative approach meets inflated market expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as as favorite?

The St. Louis Cardinals have an 80-375-1 ATS record as favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 80 out of 456 games. This translates to an extremely poor 0.0% win rate against the spread when favored.

Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as as favorite profitable?

No, betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as favorites is highly unprofitable with a -66.4% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would lose approximately 66 cents for every dollar wagered on the Cardinals when they're favored.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover the spread around 50% of the time as favorites. The Cardinals' 0.0% ATS win rate as favorites represents one of the worst sustained trends in sports betting.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.