The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as favorite after 3+ game losing streak, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 80-373-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -66.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +66.3%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record80-373-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size454 games
ROI-66.3%
Units Won-300.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-43-00.0%-80.1%
20155-41-00.0%-79.2%
20164-23-00.0%-71.7%
20174-34-00.0%-79.9%
20187-40-00.0%-71.6%
201914-30-10.0%-39.3%
202010-30-00.0%-52.3%
202112-33-00.0%-49.1%
20224-31-00.0%-78.2%
20237-41-00.0%-72.2%
20248-27-00.0%-56.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Cardinals' disastrous performance as favorites following extended losing streaks reveals a franchise caught between expectations and reality during moments of vulnerability. St. Louis has historically carried the burden of being a "winning organization" with championship pedigree, creating inflated public perception and betting lines that don't reflect their actual state when struggling. When the Cardinals enter a game as favorites after dropping three or more consecutive contests, the market overvalues their ability to bounce back simply based on organizational reputation rather than current form. This phenomenon intensifies because Cardinals management often sticks with struggling lineups and strategies longer than they should, believing their veteran leadership and "Cardinal Way" culture will naturally correct course. The psychological weight of expectation actually works against them in these spots, as players press to end the skid rather than executing their normal approach. Meanwhile, opposing teams smell blood in the water and play with extra intensity against a wounded favorite. The actionable insight here is clear: fade the Cardinals as favorites immediately after any three-game losing streak, particularly in divisional matchups where opponents have additional motivation to kick them while they're down. This trend carries the most weight during mid-season stretches when playoff positioning becomes crucial and the pressure to perform reaches its peak.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as favorite after 3+ game losing streak?

The St. Louis Cardinals have an 80-373-1 ATS record as favorites after a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This translates to a 0.0% win rate against the spread in this situation.

Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as favorite after 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Cardinals as favorites after 3+ game losing streaks is not profitable. This strategy has produced a -66.3% ROI over the 2014-2024 period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams perform closer to 50% ATS in similar situations. The Cardinals' 0.0% ATS rate in this spot represents one of the most consistent fade opportunities in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.