St. Louis Cardinals Away Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the St. Louis Cardinals in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite, the St. Louis Cardinals are just 42-183-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -64.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +64.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 5-21-0 | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| 2015 | 3-17-0 | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| 2016 | 0-9-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 3-19-0 | 0.0% | -74.0% |
| 2018 | 4-25-0 | 0.0% | -73.7% |
| 2019 | 4-16-1 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2020 | 5-15-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 8-17-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
| 2022 | 1-14-0 | 0.0% | -87.3% |
| 2023 | 4-20-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2024 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Cardinals' struggles as away favorites stem from their organizational identity crisis over the past decade. Once defined by "The Cardinal Way" - a culture of fundamentals, situational baseball, and clutch performance - the franchise has lost much of its competitive edge while oddsmakers have been slow to adjust their perception of the brand. St. Louis has particularly struggled with the psychological burden of being favored on the road, where their aging core and inconsistent pitching staff have been exposed against motivated home underdogs. The team's traditional strengths - manufacturing runs and late-game execution - have eroded significantly, yet public perception and betting markets continue to overvalue their historical reputation. Their recent seasons have been marked by inconsistent starting pitching and a lineup that fails to capitalize in high-leverage situations, precisely when road favorites need to assert dominance. The Cardinals also tend to receive inflated lines due to their large, loyal fanbase that travels well, creating artificial market movement that benefits contrarian bettors. Their struggles are most pronounced against division rivals and teams fighting for playoff positioning, where the underdog motivation is highest. This trend carries the most weight during divisional road series and when St. Louis faces teams with strong home records, particularly in the final two months of the season.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the St. Louis Cardinals's ATS record as away favorite?
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 42-183-1 ATS record as away favorites from 2014-2024, covering the spread in just 18.7% of games. This represents one of the worst ATS performances in this situation across all MLB teams.
Is betting on the St. Louis Cardinals as away favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Cardinals as away favorites is extremely unprofitable with a -64.4% ROI over the past decade. A $100 bet on each game would have resulted in losing approximately $64 for every $100 wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams cover the spread around 50% of the time as away favorites. The Cardinals' 18.7% cover rate represents a massive negative deviation from expected results.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.