Seattle Mariners Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Seattle Mariners hold a record of 48-28-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +20.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $16 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 7-3-0 | 0.0% | +33.6% |
| 2016 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2018 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2019 | 4-3-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2020 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2021 | 6-4-1 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2022 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2023 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mariners' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of resilience and their ability to thrive when expectations are lowered. Seattle has historically been built around pitching depth and situational hitting rather than star power, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers undervalue their fundamentals. When positioned as slight underdogs, the team often faces opponents coming off strong performances or riding hot streaks, creating perfect spots for Seattle's veteran-heavy clubhouse to capitalize on overconfident opposition. The franchise's long playoff drought paradoxically works in their favor in these situations. With less media pressure and public betting action, the Mariners can focus purely on execution while their opponents deal with heightened expectations. Seattle's bullpen depth and ability to manufacture runs through small ball tactics become amplified advantages when games are expected to be close, as the betting line suggests. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Seattle faces teams on winning streaks or coming off dominant victories, as these scenarios often create the small underdog positioning where the Mariners historically excel. This trend matters most during interleague play and against AL West rivals where familiarity breeds contempt, and Seattle's gritty style can frustrate more talented rosters.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Seattle Mariners have a 48-28-1 ATS record as small underdogs (+1 to +3) from 2014-2024. This translates to a 63.2% ATS win rate over 77 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Seattle Mariners as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 20.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 63.2% ATS win rate in this spot significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Mariners' 63.2% ATS win rate as small underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50% in spread betting. Their 20.6% ROI in this situation represents exceptional value compared to standard betting expectations.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.