Seattle Mariners Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Seattle Mariners hold a record of 120-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +52.7% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $79 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2015 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2016 | 12-3-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2017 | 8-4-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 10-3-0 | 0.0% | +46.9% |
| 2019 | 17-2-0 | 0.0% | +70.8% |
| 2020 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2021 | 17-3-0 | 0.0% | +62.3% |
| 2022 | 7-5-0 | 0.0% | +11.4% |
| 2023 | 10-2-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2024 | 8-3-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mariners' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational culture of exceeding expectations when written off by oddsmakers. Seattle has historically thrived in the undervalued role, particularly when facing quality opponents where the spread suggests a competitive but loseable game. This sweet spot allows their pitching staff to showcase depth while their lineup benefits from reduced pressure and opposing teams potentially overlooking them. Seattle's analytical front office has built rosters designed for situational baseball, emphasizing versatility and late-game execution. When positioned as medium underdogs, the Mariners often face teams with higher public profiles, creating line value as casual money flows toward the favorites. Their strong bullpen depth becomes crucial in these scenarios, allowing them to stay competitive deep into games where opponents might expect easier victories. The psychological edge cannot be understated - Seattle players have embraced the underdog mentality that defines their franchise's recent identity. They perform with house money confidence while opponents may approach these games with complacency. Bettors should target this trend most aggressively during interleague play and against AL East opponents, where perception gaps between the Mariners and their competition tend to be most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Seattle Mariners have an ATS record of 120-30-0 when playing as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents an 80% ATS win rate over 150 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Seattle Mariners as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) has been highly profitable with a 52.7% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 120-30 ATS record in this spot represents exceptional value for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Mariners' 80% ATS win rate as medium underdogs is exceptionally strong compared to typical MLB betting trends.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.