The Seattle Mariners show mixed results as home vs division rival. Since 2014, they're 83-73-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +1.6%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record83-73-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size156 games
ROI+1.6%
Units Won+2.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20149-4-00.0%+32.2%
201510-7-00.0%+12.3%
20168-7-00.0%+1.8%
20177-7-00.0%-4.5%
20185-9-00.0%-31.8%
201910-3-00.0%+46.9%
20207-5-00.0%+11.4%
20219-7-00.0%+7.4%
20226-11-00.0%-32.6%
20235-4-00.0%+6.1%
20247-9-00.0%-16.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mariners' modest home advantage against division rivals stems from the unique dynamics of AL West competition and T-Mobile Park's pitcher-friendly characteristics. Seattle's ballpark naturally suppresses offensive numbers with its expansive foul territory and marine layer effects, which theoretically should benefit their pitching staff. However, division opponents visit Seattle multiple times per season, allowing them to adjust to these conditions and neutralize the environmental edge that might surprise unfamiliar teams. Seattle's psychological approach against familiar foes often lacks the intensity they bring against interleague or cross-division opponents. The Mariners have historically struggled with consistency when facing teams they know intimately, as evidenced by their volatile season-to-season performance in these matchups. Their pitching staff, while generally solid at home, doesn't overwhelm division rivals who have extensive video study and multiple at-bats against Seattle's rotation throughout the season. The key betting insight here is to focus on Seattle's starting pitcher matchups rather than simply backing them as home favorites against division opponents. Their inconsistent recent form suggests the market may still overvalue their home field advantage in these spots. This trend matters most during late-season series when playoff positioning creates heightened urgency and division rivals are most motivated to spoil Seattle's postseason hopes.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as home vs division rival?

The Seattle Mariners have an 83-73-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This translates to a 53.2% ATS win rate over 156 games.

Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as home vs division rival profitable?

Yes, betting on the Seattle Mariners as home favorites against division rivals has been profitable with a 1.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, this represents consistent value over a large sample size.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Mariners' 53.2% ATS win rate at home vs division rivals slightly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 1.6% ROI indicates better-than-break-even performance in this specific situation.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

Compare Sportsbook Odds

Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.