Seattle Mariners Home Favorite on Zero Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite on zero rest, the Seattle Mariners are just 8-43-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -70.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +70.0%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2015 | 1-4-0 | 0.0% | -61.8% |
| 2016 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-7-0 | 0.0% | -76.1% |
| 2018 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2021 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2022 | 0-8-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Mariners' catastrophic performance as home favorites on zero rest reveals a franchise historically ill-equipped to handle the compressed expectations and physical demands of back-to-back games. Seattle's organizational culture has long struggled with consistency, and this specific scenario amplifies their weaknesses when the betting market expects them to perform at their peak. Zero rest situations expose Seattle's shallow pitching depth and questionable bullpen management decisions that have plagued the franchise for years. When forced to start games as favorites after playing the previous day, the Mariners consistently fail to justify the market's confidence, suggesting their roster construction lacks the depth necessary to maintain performance standards without adequate recovery time. The psychological component cannot be ignored - Seattle players appear to crumble under the weight of heightened expectations when fatigued. The franchise's lengthy playoff drought mentality creates a perfect storm where tired legs meet pressure-packed situations, resulting in consistently underwhelming performances that savvy bettors have exploited ruthlessly. This trend becomes most valuable when Seattle opens as home favorites of -140 or higher following day games, particularly during summer months when travel fatigue compounds the zero rest disadvantage.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as home favorite on zero rest?
The Seattle Mariners have an 8-43-0 ATS record as home favorites on zero rest from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 8 of 51 games. This represents a dismal 15.7% ATS win rate in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as home favorite on zero rest profitable?
No, betting on the Seattle Mariners as home favorites on zero rest is extremely unprofitable with a -70.0% ROI. This trend has consistently lost money for bettors over the 11-year period from 2014-2024.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Mariners' 15.7% ATS rate in this scenario represents one of the most reliable fade opportunities in sports betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.