The data suggests caution when backing the Seattle Mariners in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the Seattle Mariners are just 19-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -63.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +63.7%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record19-81-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size100 games
ROI-63.7%
Units Won-63.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-6-00.0%-23.6%
20153-8-00.0%-47.9%
20162-10-00.0%-68.2%
20170-8-00.0%-100.0%
20181-11-00.0%-84.1%
20193-2-00.0%+14.6%
20200-7-00.0%-100.0%
20212-8-00.0%-61.8%
20221-7-00.0%-76.1%
20233-6-00.0%-36.4%
20240-8-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Mariners' struggles as road favorites following losses stem from a toxic combination of psychological fragility and organizational inconsistency that has plagued the franchise for decades. Seattle's culture of underachievement creates a compounding effect where losses carry extra weight, particularly when the team is expected to bounce back as favorites on the road. The pressure of being favored away from home after a defeat exposes their mental weakness, as players press to prove themselves rather than executing fundamentally sound baseball. Seattle's roster construction has historically emphasized offensive potential over pitching depth and defensive reliability, creating volatility that works against them in these spots. When facing the added pressure of being road favorites after a loss, their starting pitchers often struggle with command issues, while their offense becomes overly aggressive trying to manufacture runs early. The team's inability to trust their process becomes magnified in hostile environments where they need to perform as expected favorites. The most profitable fade opportunities emerge when Seattle is a moderate road favorite (-130 to -160) after losing to divisional opponents, as the emotional carryover and familiarity factor amplifies their tendency to underperform expectations in these crucial spots.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Seattle Mariners's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The Seattle Mariners have a 19-81-0 ATS record as away favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 19% win rate against the spread in this specific situation.

Is betting on the Seattle Mariners as away favorite after a loss profitable?

No, betting on the Seattle Mariners as away favorites after a loss is not profitable, showing a -63.7% ROI. This trend has resulted in significant losses for bettors over the 10-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS. The Mariners' 19% win rate in this situation represents one of the worst situational trends in baseball.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.