The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the San Francisco Giants are just 210-220-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -6.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +6.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record210-220-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size432 games
ROI-6.8%
Units Won-29.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201422-19-00.0%+2.4%
201521-26-00.0%-14.7%
201618-18-00.0%-4.5%
201713-21-00.0%-27.0%
201817-19-00.0%-9.8%
201916-20-00.0%-15.2%
202017-17-00.0%-4.5%
202124-24-00.0%-4.5%
202223-16-10.0%+12.6%
202320-23-00.0%-11.2%
202419-17-10.0%+0.8%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational philosophy that prioritizes National League familiarity and divisional play preparation. San Francisco has historically built rosters optimized for NL West competition, emphasizing pitching staffs designed to neutralize specific divisional rivals rather than adapting to American League designated hitter dynamics and unfamiliar offensive approaches. This strategic myopia becomes particularly pronounced when facing AL teams, where the Giants' pitchers often struggle with the additional offensive threat in the lineup and their hitters fail to capitalize on potentially weaker AL pitching they rarely encounter. The franchise's analytical approach, while sophisticated within their conference, doesn't translate effectively to interleague matchups where historical data points become less reliable. The psychological component cannot be overlooked either. Giants players and coaching staff approach divisional games with intense preparation and familiarity, creating a comfort zone that dissipates against unfamiliar opponents. This mental adjustment period often costs them early innings, where sharp bettors can find value. Smart money should target Giants interleague games during the first half of the season when rust against non-conference opponents is most pronounced, particularly when they're road favorites against AL teams with strong designated hitters.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?

The San Francisco Giants have a 210-220-2 against the spread (ATS) record when facing non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 48.8% ATS win rate over 432 games.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as vs non-conference opponent profitable?

No, betting on the San Francisco Giants against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -6.8% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. This negative return indicates bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Giants in these matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Giants' 48.8% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is slightly below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. The -6.8% ROI suggests underperformance compared to typical MLB team averages in similar situations.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.