The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs division opponent, the San Francisco Giants are just 120-134-4 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -9.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +9.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record120-134-4
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size258 games
ROI-9.8%
Units Won-24.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201414-17-00.0%-13.8%
201510-13-00.0%-17.0%
201615-13-00.0%+2.3%
20177-14-10.0%-36.4%
201811-10-00.0%0.0%
201914-10-00.0%+11.4%
20208-12-00.0%-23.6%
202111-9-00.0%+5.0%
202210-11-00.0%-9.1%
20238-13-10.0%-27.3%
202412-12-20.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' struggles against divisional opponents stem from the inherent familiarity and strategic adjustments that define NL West competition. San Francisco faces the same pitching staffs and hitters 19 times per season, creating a chess match where opposing managers can exploit specific weaknesses more effectively than against unfamiliar teams. The Giants have historically relied on pitching finesse and situational hitting, but these advantages diminish when facing division rivals who've studied their tendencies extensively. Oracle Park's unique dimensions further complicate matters against divisional foes. While the ballpark's marine layer and foul territory typically favor Giants pitchers, NL West opponents have adapted their approach over multiple series, learning to work deeper counts and capitalize on the few mistakes they see. The Padres and Dodgers, in particular, have constructed lineups specifically designed to neutralize San Francisco's home-field advantages, turning what should be a strength into a liability. The psychological weight of divisional games creates additional pressure, as each contest carries playoff implications and roster construction consequences. Giants players often press in these high-stakes matchups, leading to uncharacteristic mistakes that savvy oddsmakers fail to fully account for. This trend carries the most significance during late-season divisional series when playoff positioning intensifies the psychological factors already working against San Francisco.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The San Francisco Giants have an ATS record of 120-134-4 when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.2% cover rate over 258 total games.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as vs division opponent profitable?

No, betting on the Giants against division opponents has not been profitable, showing a -9.8% ROI over the 11-year period. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing San Francisco in divisional matchups.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Giants' 47.2% ATS win rate against division opponents is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Most successful ATS trends typically maintain rates above 52-53% to overcome the standard betting juice.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.