The public often underestimates the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the San Francisco Giants hold a record of 42-23-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +23.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $15 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record42-23-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size66 games
ROI+23.4%
Units Won+15.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20145-2-00.0%+36.4%
20158-3-00.0%+38.8%
20164-2-00.0%+27.3%
20173-2-00.0%+14.6%
20182-4-00.0%-36.4%
20193-4-00.0%-18.2%
20204-2-00.0%+27.3%
20214-1-00.0%+52.7%
20224-2-00.0%+27.3%
20231-1-00.0%-4.5%
20244-0-10.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Giants' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational culture of grinding out close games and their roster construction favoring situational baseball. San Francisco has consistently built teams around veteran leadership, strong bullpen depth, and opportunistic offense rather than overwhelming talent, making them particularly dangerous when oddsmakers view them as slight underdogs. This dynamic creates a perfect storm where the betting market undervalues their intangibles. The Giants excel in late-game execution, with their experienced core thriving under the pressure that comes with being counted out. Their pitching staff historically performs better when they can attack the zone knowing they're not expected to dominate, while their hitters become more selective and situational when trailing slightly in public perception. The psychological edge cannot be understated – this franchise has built its identity around being overlooked, dating back to their championship runs where they consistently outperformed expectations in October. Their veteran-heavy clubhouse knows how to channel that underdog energy into focused execution. Bettors should target Giants small underdog spots specifically in divisional games and against teams with higher public profiles, where the perception gap between actual and perceived talent creates the most value.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?

The San Francisco Giants have gone 42-23-1 against the spread (ATS) when listed as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 64.6% ATS win rate over 66 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Giants as small underdogs has been highly profitable with a 23.4% return on investment (ROI). Their 42-23-1 ATS record in this spot significantly outperforms typical betting expectations.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance substantially exceeds league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS and break-even ROI. The Giants' 64.6% win rate and 23.4% ROI as small underdogs represents exceptional value compared to typical MLB betting trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.