San Francisco Giants Large Underdog (+7.5+) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large underdog (+7.5+), the San Francisco Giants hold a record of 173-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +83.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $150 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 17-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 12-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 12-1-0 | 0.0% | +76.2% |
| 2018 | 20-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 16-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 14-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 20-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 15-2-0 | 0.0% | +68.5% |
| 2024 | 15-4-0 | 0.0% | +50.7% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Giants' exceptional performance as massive underdogs stems from their organizational culture of playing spoiler and thriving when expectations are lowest. San Francisco has historically embraced the underdog mentality, particularly during their championship runs, where veteran leadership and postseason experience allowed them to remain composed in high-pressure situations where opponents expected easy victories. This trend reflects the Giants' strategic approach of maximizing effort against superior competition while potentially overlooking weaker opponents. When facing elite teams as heavy underdogs, San Francisco benefits from reduced pressure and the psychological advantage of having nothing to lose. Their pitching staff, traditionally strong even during rebuilding years, tends to elevate performance against top-tier lineups, while their hitters often display improved plate discipline when facing ace pitchers. The Giants' veteran-heavy roster construction during most of this sample period contributed significantly to this phenomenon. Experienced players understand how to manufacture runs and execute situational baseball when games matter most, regardless of talent disparities on paper. Bettors should target this trend when the Giants face division rivals or playoff contenders as massive underdogs, particularly in late-season games where San Francisco's spoiler role becomes most pronounced and meaningful.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as large underdog (+7.5+)?
The San Francisco Giants have an ATS record of 173-7-0 when they are large underdogs of +7.5 or more from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 96.1% ATS win rate in these situations.
Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as large underdog (+7.5+) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Giants as large underdogs has been extremely profitable with an 83.5% ROI from 2014-2024. This trend has generated consistent returns by covering the spread in 173 of 180 games.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly above league average, as most teams struggle to cover large spreads consistently. The Giants' 96.1% ATS rate in these spots is exceptionally rare and far exceeds typical underdog covering rates.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.