San Francisco Giants Home Favorite After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home favorite after a loss, the San Francisco Giants are just 19-80-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -63.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +63.4%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-10-0 | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 2015 | 1-9-0 | 0.0% | -80.9% |
| 2016 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2017 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2018 | 0-10-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-5-0 | 0.0% | -45.5% |
| 2020 | 3-7-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2021 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2022 | 1-6-0 | 0.0% | -72.7% |
| 2023 | 4-12-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Giants' struggles as home favorites after losses stem from a combination of psychological fragility and organizational inconsistency that has plagued the franchise in recent years. San Francisco has historically been a team that relies heavily on momentum and confidence, particularly at Oracle Park where the marine layer and unique dimensions can either amplify or diminish offensive production. When coming off a defeat, the Giants often compound their problems by overthinking adjustments rather than trusting their established approach. The team's veteran-heavy rosters during much of this period have shown a tendency to press when expectations are highest, leading to mechanical breakdowns at the plate and tentative pitching. Oracle Park's pitcher-friendly environment typically benefits San Francisco, but as home favorites after losses, they've struggled to capitalize on this advantage, often facing opponents who arrive loose and aggressive while the Giants carry the weight of recent failure. Bettors should recognize that this pattern intensifies during crucial stretches of the season when the Giants are fighting for playoff positioning. The combination of home expectations and the need to bounce back creates a perfect storm of pressure that this franchise has consistently failed to handle effectively. This trend carries the most weight during late-season series against division rivals when every game magnifies the psychological burden.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as home favorite after a loss?
The San Francisco Giants have an ATS record of 19-80-0 (19.2% win rate) when playing as home favorites after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents one of the worst situational betting trends in MLB over this period.
Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as home favorite after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Giants as home favorites after a loss has been extremely unprofitable with a -63.4% ROI. This trend has consistently failed to cover the spread, making it a fade opportunity for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS in similar situations. The Giants' 19.2% cover rate in this spot represents a massive statistical anomaly that bettors have exploited.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.