San Francisco Giants As Favorite Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the San Francisco Giants in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as favorite, the San Francisco Giants are just 91-349-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -60.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +60.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-35-0 | 0.0% | -72.1% |
| 2015 | 12-37-0 | 0.0% | -53.2% |
| 2016 | 11-27-0 | 0.0% | -44.7% |
| 2017 | 3-36-1 | 0.0% | -85.3% |
| 2018 | 7-27-0 | 0.0% | -60.7% |
| 2019 | 9-29-0 | 0.0% | -54.8% |
| 2020 | 10-33-0 | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| 2021 | 10-32-0 | 0.0% | -54.5% |
| 2022 | 7-32-0 | 0.0% | -65.7% |
| 2023 | 9-35-0 | 0.0% | -61.0% |
| 2024 | 7-26-1 | 0.0% | -59.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Giants' struggles as favorites stem from a fundamental mismatch between public perception and actual performance capabilities. San Francisco has historically been a team that thrives as underdogs, playing loose and aggressive baseball when expectations are low. When installed as favorites, the psychological pressure shifts dramatically, and their approach becomes more conservative and tentative. This pattern reflects deeper organizational tendencies around roster construction and game management. The Giants have consistently fielded teams built around veteran leadership and situational baseball rather than overwhelming talent. These characteristics work beautifully when grinding out wins as underdogs, but create vulnerabilities when expected to dominate. Their pitching staff, often reliant on command and guile rather than overpowering stuff, becomes more hittable when opposing teams approach them with confidence rather than caution. The franchise's even-year championship magic from 2010-2014 created inflated public expectations that persisted well beyond those teams' expiration dates. Bettors continued backing San Francisco based on recent memory rather than current roster quality, creating consistent line value on their opponents. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and series where the Giants are substantial home favorites, particularly against teams they're expected to handle easily.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Francisco Giants's ATS record as as favorite?
The San Francisco Giants have an ATS record of 91-349-2 when favored from 2014-2024. This represents a 20.6% ATS win rate over 442 games as favorites.
Is betting on the San Francisco Giants as as favorite profitable?
No, betting on the Giants as favorites has been highly unprofitable with a -60.5% ROI. This means bettors would have lost approximately 60 cents for every dollar wagered on Giants favorites during this period.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly worse than league average, as most teams typically hover around 50% ATS when favored. The Giants' 20.6% ATS rate as favorites represents one of the worst long-term trends in MLB betting.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.