San Diego Padres vs Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs conference opponent, the San Diego Padres are just 150-189-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -15.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +15.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 9-18-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 9-15-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2016 | 19-14-0 | 0.0% | +9.9% |
| 2017 | 11-21-0 | 0.0% | -34.4% |
| 2018 | 20-18-0 | 0.0% | +0.5% |
| 2019 | 15-17-0 | 0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2020 | 12-20-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2021 | 14-15-0 | 0.0% | -7.8% |
| 2022 | 13-16-0 | 0.0% | -14.4% |
| 2023 | 17-16-0 | 0.0% | -1.6% |
| 2024 | 11-19-0 | 0.0% | -30.0% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Padres' struggles against conference opponents stem from their historical position as a small-market franchise caught between aggressive rebuild phases and premature competitive pushes. This organizational instability has created a franchise that consistently finds itself mismatched against division rivals who have maintained more coherent long-term strategies. San Diego's geographic isolation within the NL West compounds these issues, as they face significant travel disadvantages when playing road series against Colorado, Arizona, and especially the California rivals who know their personnel intimately. The Padres have also suffered from inconsistent player development cycles, often promoting prospects before they're ready or trading away emerging talent just as it begins to mature, leaving them vulnerable to teams that have maintained roster continuity. The franchise's tendency to overspend on aging veterans while neglecting foundational depth has created rosters that look competitive on paper but lack the chemistry and situational awareness needed for divisional warfare. Their pitching development has been particularly problematic, with young arms frequently struggling against familiar NL West lineups that see them multiple times per season. This trend carries the most weight during late-season divisional series when playoff positioning is at stake, as the Padres historically fold under the pressure of meaningful games against conference foes.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as vs conference opponent?
The San Diego Padres have a 150-189 ATS record when facing conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 44.3% ATS win rate over 339 games.
Is betting on the San Diego Padres as vs conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the San Diego Padres against conference opponents has not been profitable, with a -15.5% ROI over the past decade. Bettors would have lost approximately 15.5 cents for every dollar wagered on this trend.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the expected 50% ATS win rate, indicating the Padres consistently failed to cover spreads against conference opponents. The -15.5% ROI suggests this has been one of the less profitable betting trends for the franchise during this period.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.