San Diego Padres As Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as as underdog, the San Diego Padres hold a record of 347-71-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +58.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $244 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 31-10-0 | 0.0% | +44.4% |
| 2015 | 21-10-0 | 0.0% | +29.3% |
| 2016 | 33-6-0 | 0.0% | +61.5% |
| 2017 | 27-6-0 | 0.0% | +56.2% |
| 2018 | 35-3-0 | 0.0% | +75.8% |
| 2019 | 38-6-0 | 0.0% | +64.9% |
| 2020 | 25-8-0 | 0.0% | +44.6% |
| 2021 | 28-5-0 | 0.0% | +62.0% |
| 2022 | 34-5-0 | 0.0% | +66.4% |
| 2023 | 45-7-0 | 0.0% | +65.2% |
| 2024 | 30-5-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Padres' exceptional performance as underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the undervalued position. San Diego has historically operated with smaller payrolls compared to division rivals like the Dodgers and Giants, forcing them to develop a scrappy, opportunistic identity that thrives when expectations are lowered. This psychological edge becomes particularly pronounced when oddsmakers underestimate their talent relative to marquee opponents. The team's strategic approach as underdogs often involves aggressive bullpen management and situational hitting that catches opponents off-guard. San Diego's front office has consistently identified undervalued players who perform better in pressure situations, creating roster depth that doesn't show up in traditional metrics but pays dividends when facing superior competition. Their home ballpark's unique dimensions also create advantages that aren't fully priced into lines, especially against visiting teams unfamiliar with Petco Park's marine layer effects. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when the Padres face teams with inflated public perception - particularly high-profile franchises or hot streaks that drive betting action. This trend proves most valuable during interleague play and weekend series when casual money inflates opponent lines, creating maximum value on San Diego's underdog status.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as as underdog?
The San Diego Padres have an ATS record of 347-71-0 as underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 83.0% ATS win rate over 418 games.
Is betting on the San Diego Padres as as underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the San Diego Padres as underdogs has been highly profitable with a 58.5% ROI. This exceptional return indicates consistent value when backing the Padres in underdog situations.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Padres' 83.0% ATS win rate as underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 58.5% ROI is exceptionally high compared to most profitable betting trends which rarely exceed 10-15% ROI.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.