The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the San Diego Padres are just 427-463-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -8.4% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +8.4%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record427-463-2
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size892 games
ROI-8.4%
Units Won-74.8u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201433-49-00.0%-23.2%
201525-45-10.0%-31.8%
201640-45-00.0%-10.2%
201735-42-00.0%-13.2%
201842-46-00.0%-8.9%
201951-38-00.0%+9.4%
202028-35-00.0%-15.2%
202137-38-00.0%-5.8%
202241-39-00.0%-2.2%
202356-39-10.0%+12.5%
202439-47-00.0%-13.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' Sunday struggles stem from a combination of West Coast travel fatigue and the unique pressures of series finales. As a Pacific Division team, San Diego frequently faces grueling cross-country trips, and Sunday games often represent the tail end of these demanding road series when players are mentally and physically drained. The team's historically inconsistent bullpen management becomes particularly pronounced on Sundays, as relievers who've been overworked during the weekend series show diminished effectiveness in crucial late-game situations. San Diego's offensive approach also shifts noticeably on Sundays, becoming more aggressive at the plate as hitters press to salvage series that may have started poorly. This leads to elevated strikeout rates and fewer productive at-bats against opposing pitchers who've had multiple games to observe Padres tendencies. The psychological weight of needing to avoid series sweeps creates additional pressure that manifests in poor execution of fundamental plays. For bettors, the key insight is monitoring the Padres' bullpen usage in Friday and Saturday games of any series. When key relievers log heavy innings early in the weekend, Sunday presents a prime fade opportunity. This trend carries the most weight during divisional series and road trips longer than six games, when fatigue factors compound significantly.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as sunday games?

The San Diego Padres have a 427-463-2 against the spread (ATS) record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 48.0% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the San Diego Padres in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -8.4% return on investment (ROI). This negative ROI indicates consistent losses for bettors backing the Padres on Sundays.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Padres' 48.0% ATS win rate in Sunday games is below the expected 50% break-even point and likely underperforms the league average. Their -8.4% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads on Sundays more than typical MLB teams.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.