The San Diego Padres show mixed results as two days rest. Since 2014, they're 52-52-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record52-52-1
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size105 games
ROI-4.5%
Units Won-4.7u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-6-00.0%-52.3%
20153-4-10.0%-18.2%
20165-6-00.0%-13.2%
20172-5-00.0%-45.5%
20189-7-00.0%+7.4%
20196-3-00.0%+27.3%
20202-8-00.0%-61.8%
20216-3-00.0%+27.3%
20227-4-00.0%+21.5%
20236-2-00.0%+43.2%
20244-4-00.0%-4.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' perfectly neutral performance on two days' rest reflects the inherent challenges of modern roster management in a franchise that has undergone significant philosophical shifts over the past decade. San Diego's approach to rest days has been heavily influenced by their medical staff's conservative injury prevention protocols, particularly given their history with high-profile pitcher injuries. This cautious approach often leads to predictable lineup changes and bullpen usage patterns that sharp bettors can easily identify. The team's struggles in 2020 highlight how compressed schedules exposed their lack of organizational depth during the COVID-shortened season. However, their improved 2023 performance coincided with better roster construction and more aggressive trade deadline acquisitions, suggesting the franchise has learned to better navigate these scheduling quirks. The Padres' recent emphasis on analytics-driven rest strategies has created more consistency, but it's also made their two-day rest games increasingly efficient from a betting market perspective. Bettors should focus on this trend during late-season stretches when playoff positioning matters most, as the Padres historically alter their rest patterns significantly when games carry higher stakes, creating potential value discrepancies in the betting lines.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as two days rest?

The San Diego Padres have a 52-52-1 ATS record when playing with two days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a perfectly balanced performance against the spread over 105 games.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as two days rest profitable?

No, betting on the San Diego Padres with two days rest is not profitable, showing a -4.5% ROI despite the even ATS record. The negative return indicates consistent losses due to juice/vigorish even when breaking even against the spread.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is essentially at league average for ATS records (50%), but the -4.5% ROI is typical for break-even ATS performance. Most teams hover around break-even ATS with similar negative ROI due to standard betting juice.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.