The data suggests caution when backing the San Diego Padres in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as zero days rest, the San Diego Padres are just 94-121-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -16.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +16.5%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record94-121-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size215 games
ROI-16.5%
Units Won-35.5u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20146-12-00.0%-36.4%
20152-10-00.0%-68.2%
201610-9-00.0%+0.5%
20176-10-00.0%-28.4%
201813-14-00.0%-8.1%
20198-14-00.0%-30.6%
20207-6-00.0%+2.8%
20218-14-00.0%-30.6%
20228-11-00.0%-19.6%
202316-9-00.0%+22.2%
202410-12-00.0%-13.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The Padres' struggles on zero days rest stem from their organizational approach to roster construction and bullpen management over the past decade. San Diego has consistently built around power pitching staffs that rely heavily on high-velocity arms, creating a culture where rest and recovery take precedence over maintaining peak performance on back-to-back days. This philosophy becomes particularly problematic when their rotation gets compressed, as the team tends to overextend relievers who aren't conditioned for the workload. The franchise's geographic location also plays a subtle but significant role. Playing in the Pacific Time Zone means more late-night finishes when traveling east, compounding fatigue issues that already plague teams on zero rest. Additionally, the Padres' analytical approach under recent front office regimes has emphasized preserving long-term pitcher health over short-term competitive advantages, leading to more conservative usage patterns that can leave the team shorthanded in tight scheduling situations. Smart bettors should focus on this trend when the Padres face zero rest scenarios following extra-inning games or West Coast swings, particularly against teams with deeper bullpens. The pattern becomes most exploitable during summer months when travel fatigue peaks and the organization's cautious pitcher management philosophy creates the largest competitive disadvantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Diego Padres's ATS record as zero days rest?

The San Diego Padres have an ATS record of 94-121-0 (43.7%) when playing on zero days rest from 2014-2024. They have failed to cover the spread in 121 of their 215 games in this situation.

Is betting on the San Diego Padres as zero days rest profitable?

No, betting on the San Diego Padres on zero days rest is not profitable. With a 0.0% win rate and -16.5% ROI over this period, bettors would have lost money consistently backing the Padres in this spot.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly below league average, as most teams typically cover around 50% ATS. The Padres' 43.7% ATS rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently struggle when playing without rest.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.