Overall Home Runs: 21-79-0 O/U
21.0%
Over Rate
0.28
Avg HR
0.51
Avg Line
-0.2
Avg vs Line
-59.9%
Over ROI
100
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 21-79 | 21.0% | 0.51 | 0.28 | -59.9% |
| Away Games | 13-30 | 30.2% | 0.52 | 0.37 | -42.3% |
| As Favorite | 3-8 | 27.3% | 0.5 | 0.64 | -47.9% |
| High Total Games | 3-7 | 30.0% | 0.5 | 0.6 | -42.7% |
| Home Games | 8-49 | 14.0% | 0.5 | 0.21 | -73.2% |
| Last 10 Games | 4-6 | 40.0% | 0.5 | 0.6 | -23.6% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
14.0% Over
Away
30.2% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
40.0% Over
Other Yordan Alvarez Props
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Yordan Alvarez's overall Home Runs prop record?
Yordan Alvarez is 21-79 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (21.0% over rate).
When does Yordan Alvarez go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Yordan Alvarez's best Home Runs situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 40.0% of the time.
What's Yordan Alvarez's average Home Runs per game?
Yordan Alvarez averages 0.28 HR per game vs an average line of 0.51.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Home Games is Yordan Alvarez's worst Home Runs situation at just 14.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 100 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.