Overall Home Runs: 11-59-0 O/U
15.7%
Over Rate
0.17
Avg HR
0.51
Avg Line
-0.3
Avg vs Line
-70.0%
Over ROI
70
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 11-59 | 15.7% | 0.51 | 0.17 | -70.0% |
| Away Games | 3-30 | 9.1% | 0.5 | 0.12 | -82.6% |
| As Favorite | 3-7 | 30.0% | 0.5 | 0.3 | -42.7% |
| Home Games | 8-29 | 21.6% | 0.53 | 0.22 | -58.7% |
| Last 10 Games | 3-7 | 30.0% | 0.5 | 0.3 | -42.7% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
21.6% Over
Away
9.1% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
30.0% Over
Other Willy Adames Props
Milwaukee Brewers Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
Find the Best Home Runs Prop Lines
Compare Willy Adames props across sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Willy Adames's overall Home Runs prop record?
Willy Adames is 11-59 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (15.7% over rate).
When does Willy Adames go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Willy Adames's best Home Runs situation is As Favorite, where they hit the over 30.0% of the time.
What's Willy Adames's average Home Runs per game?
Willy Adames averages 0.17 HR per game vs an average line of 0.51.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Willy Adames's worst Home Runs situation at just 9.1% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 70 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.