Victor Scott II's Total Bases prop at home presents one of the sharpest under opportunities in baseball, hitting just 10.0% overs across 10 games with a devastating -1.3 differential versus the typical 1.9 line. Currently riding a seven-game under streak, this represents a premium fade opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Victor Scott II's home Total Bases performance reveals a player fundamentally overvalued by oddsmakers in his comfort zone. Averaging just 0.6 total bases per home game against lines consistently set around 1.9, Scott creates a massive 1.3-base gap that screams systematic mispricing. The 71.8% ROI on unders isn't luck—it's mathematical inevitability when a player consistently falls 68% short of expectations. Scott's profile suggests a contact-first approach that prioritizes getting on base over extra-base production, particularly effective at home where he's comfortable taking what the pitcher gives him. The seven-game under streak indicates this isn't variance but rather Scott's true talent level being exposed repeatedly. Oddsmakers appear to be pricing him based on positional expectations rather than actual production patterns. The 90% under rate across this sample size represents one of the most lopsided trends in baseball, suggesting either Scott's approach is fundamentally incompatible with total bases accumulation at home, or books haven't adjusted to his actual skill set. With no meaningful over streaks longer than one game, regression toward a higher total bases average seems unlikely given the consistency of his approach.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Victor Scott II's Total Bases props at home represent premium value with 90% historical success and a massive -1.3 differential. The seven-game under streak reflects his true talent level, not bad luck. Target this prop when lines exceed 1.5, as Scott's contact-oriented approach consistently falls short of oddsmaker expectations in his home environment.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Scott II's Total Bases prop record home games?
Victor Scott II's Total Bases prop at home shows a 1-9-0 over/under record across 10 games, hitting just 10.0% overs with an average of 0.6 total bases per game against typical lines around 1.9.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Scott II Total Bases home games?
Bet the UNDER on Victor Scott II's Total Bases at home with high confidence. The 90% under rate and 71.8% ROI represent exceptional value, particularly when lines exceed 1.5 total bases.
What's Victor Scott II's average Total Bases home games?
Victor Scott II averages 0.6 total bases per home game, creating a massive 1.3-base deficit against the typical 1.9 line. This 68% shortfall represents one of the largest gaps in baseball.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Victor Scott II's Total Bases unders at home when lines are set at 1.5 or higher. His contact-oriented approach and consistent underperformance make these props premium fade opportunities regardless of matchup.