Victor Scott II's hits props present one of the season's most reliable under opportunities, going 5-25-0 with just a 16.7% over rate. His 0.47 hits average sits 0.8 hits below the typical 1.3 line, generating massive +59.1% ROI on unders. This is a clear fade candidate.
Expert Analysis
Victor Scott II's hits prop represents a textbook case of market inefficiency favoring sharp under bettors. His 0.47 hits per game average creates an enormous 0.8-hit cushion below standard lines, while his catastrophic 5-25-0 record speaks to fundamental offensive limitations rather than temporary slumps. The Cardinals rookie has demonstrated consistently poor contact quality and plate discipline throughout his 30-game sample, with an active 8-game under streak highlighting his struggles. Most telling is the 12-game under streak earlier this season, suggesting bookmakers have been slow to adjust lines downward despite overwhelming evidence of Scott's offensive deficiencies. The -68.2% ROI on overs indicates recreational money consistently inflating his props, while the corresponding +59.1% under ROI rewards contrarian thinking. Scott's profile as a defense-first center fielder with minimal offensive upside means this isn't variance—it's his true talent level. The lack of any meaningful over streaks (longest just 2 games) confirms his ceiling remains extremely low, making regression toward higher hit totals unlikely without significant mechanical changes to his approach.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Victor Scott II's hits props offer exceptional value with his 0.47 average sitting nearly a full hit below standard lines. The overwhelming 25-5 under record and +59.1% ROI demonstrate consistent market mispricing. Target unders when lines sit at 1.0 or higher, particularly in road games where offensive struggles typically amplify. The primary risk involves potential lineup changes limiting his playing time, but his defensive value ensures regular starts.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-17 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Victor Scott II's Hits prop record all games?
Victor Scott II has gone 5-25-0 on hits props in all games, hitting the over just 16.7% of the time. His 0.47 hits per game average sits 0.8 hits below the standard 1.3 line, creating massive value for under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Victor Scott II Hits all games?
Bet under on Victor Scott II's hits props with high confidence. His 5-25-0 record and +59.1% under ROI make this one of the season's most reliable fade opportunities, especially when lines sit at 1.0 or higher.
What's Victor Scott II's average Hits all games?
Victor Scott II averages 0.47 hits per game, which is 0.8 hits below the typical 1.3 line. This enormous gap explains his 16.7% over rate and represents one of the season's largest prop differentials favoring unders.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Victor Scott II under props when lines are 1.0 or higher, particularly in road games where offensive struggles amplify. His current 8-game under streak and defense-first profile make any game with standard pricing an excellent under opportunity.