Fade UNDER
4-9 O/U Record
30.8% Over Rate
-5.4u Units Won
-41.3% ROI
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Tyrone Taylor's total bases prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity with just a 30.8% over rate across 13 games. His 1.08 average sits 1.4 bases below the typical 2.5 line, generating strong under value with +32.2% ROI.

Expert Analysis

Tyrone Taylor's road struggles create a systematic edge for under bettors on his total bases prop. His 1.08 average in away games reveals a player who consistently fails to reach the standard 2.5 line, missing by nearly 1.5 bases per game. This isn't marginal underperformance—it's a clear pattern of offensive limitations away from home. The 4-9 over/under record tells the story of a hitter who lacks the power consistency to regularly accumulate multiple bases on the road. Taylor's profile as a contact-oriented outfielder without significant pop becomes more pronounced in unfamiliar environments, where timing and comfort at the plate often suffer. The longest under streak of five games demonstrates how extended cold spells can devastate total bases production for players without natural power. While his recent one-game over streak might suggest momentum, the broader sample shows this is likely noise rather than signal. The -41.3% ROI on overs reflects how the market may be overvaluing Taylor's ability to produce extra-base hits consistently in road environments. His offensive ceiling appears capped at single-base production most nights, making the under a mathematically sound play with proper bankroll management.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Taylor's 1.08 road average creates consistent value against the 2.5 line, supported by a strong 69.2% under rate and profitable +32.2% ROI. The ideal spot comes when facing quality road pitching that can limit his already modest power output. Main risk involves the small 13-game sample potentially not capturing his true road ability.

4 OVERS (30.8%)
9 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 13 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-09-30 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-09-29 OPP 1.5 1.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-09-28 OPP 0.5 0.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-09-24 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-08-24 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-08-08 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER
2024-08-07 OPP 3.5 1.0 -2.5 UNDER
2024-08-04 OPP 1.5 0.0 -1.5 UNDER
2024-07-04 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-07-02 OPP 4.5 0.0 -4.5 UNDER
2024-07-01 OPP 2.5 2.0 -0.5 UNDER
2024-04-09 OPP 0.5 1.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-04-07 OPP 1.5 3.0 +1.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 30.8% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 20.0% Over
Last 10 20.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tyrone Taylor's Total Bases prop record away games?

Tyrone Taylor has gone under his total bases prop in 9 of 13 away games (69.2% under rate) with a 4-9-0 over/under record. His road performance shows consistent struggles reaching the typical 2.5 total bases line this season.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Total Bases away games?

Bet under on Tyrone Taylor's total bases in away games. His 1.08 road average creates clear value against standard lines, with under bets showing +32.2% ROI compared to -41.3% on overs throughout the season.

What's Tyrone Taylor's average Total Bases away games?

Taylor averages just 1.08 total bases in away games, sitting 1.4 bases below the standard 2.5 line. This significant gap between his production and typical betting lines creates consistent value for under bettors.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Taylor's total bases unders when he faces quality road pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His contact-oriented approach becomes more limited against strong arms, making these ideal spots for under value.

Methodology: This analysis covers 13 games from 2024-04-07 to 2024-09-30. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.