Tyrone Taylor's total bases props present a compelling under opportunity with just 27.6% overs hitting across 29 games. His 1.38 average sits a full base below the typical 2.4 line, generating +38.2% ROI on unders while overs hemorrhage at -47.3%.
Expert Analysis
Taylor's total bases struggles stem from his role as a fourth outfielder who rarely sees consistent at-bats or favorable matchups. His 1.38 average reflects a player getting spot starts against tough pitching while lacking the power profile to consistently reach extra bases. The massive 1.02 differential between his production and the standard line suggests books haven't properly adjusted for his limited role in the Mets' outfield rotation. Taylor's 8-21 under record isn't fluky—it's structural. He's averaging just 2.8 at-bats per game when he plays, often facing quality starters in platoon situations. Without consistent playing time or a defined role, Taylor struggles to build rhythm at the plate. The longest under streak of five games highlights how quickly he can go cold, while his longest over streak maxed at just two games. This isn't a power hitter working through a slump; it's a bench player whose sporadic usage makes 2+ total bases a tall order most nights. The 38.2% ROI on unders demonstrates the market's slow recognition of Taylor's limitations, creating ongoing value for sharp bettors who understand his role.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Taylor's structural role as a bench player creates consistent value on total bases unders, with the 1.02 average differential providing cushion even if he connects. Target games where he's facing quality starting pitching or in unfavorable platoon spots. Main risk is an unexpected hot streak or increased playing time due to injuries.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Tyrone Taylor props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrone Taylor's Total Bases prop record all games?
Taylor's total bases record shows 8 overs and 21 unders across 29 games, hitting the over just 27.6% of the time with a -1.0 average differential from typical lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Taylor's total bases props. His 27.6% over rate and +38.2% under ROI create clear value, especially given his limited role and 1.38 average production.
What's Tyrone Taylor's average Total Bases all games?
Taylor averages 1.38 total bases per game, sitting 1.02 bases below the standard 2.4 line. This massive gap reflects his bench role and inconsistent at-bat opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Taylor total bases unders when he's facing quality starting pitching or in platoon disadvantage spots. His limited role makes any total bases prop above 1.5 questionable value.