Tyrone Taylor's home run prop in away games presents one of the season's most reliable under trends, going 0-12-0 with a perfect 0.0% over rate. Taylor has failed to homer in every single road game while consistently facing 0.5 home run lines. This represents a clear lean under with exceptional historical backing.
Expert Analysis
Taylor's complete absence of road power represents more than statistical noise across 12 games spanning the entire 2024 season. As a fourth outfielder type, Taylor's limited plate appearances and contact-oriented approach create natural obstacles to clearing home run props, particularly on the road where hitters traditionally struggle with unfamiliar environments and pitcher-friendly conditions. The 0.5 line suggests books recognize his minimal power upside, yet the market consistently prices this prop despite Taylor's clear limitations. His role as a defensive replacement and pinch-hitter further restricts his opportunities for meaningful offensive production. The -100% ROI on overs reflects not just poor performance but the structural reality of betting on a player whose skill set doesn't align with home run production. Road environments typically suppress power numbers by 10-15% league-wide, and Taylor's profile suggests he's particularly susceptible to this effect. The consistency of this trend across different stadiums, pitching matchups, and game situations indicates this isn't random variance but a reflection of Taylor's true talent level in power situations away from Citi Field.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Taylor's perfect 0-12-0 record against home run props in away games reflects his limited power profile rather than temporary struggles. The structural factors - minimal plate appearances, contact approach, and road environment disadvantages - create sustainable edge for under bettors. Target this prop when Taylor is in road lineups, particularly against quality pitching where his contact limitations become more pronounced.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyrone Taylor's Home Runs prop record away games?
Taylor's home run prop record in away games is a perfect 0-12-0, meaning he has failed to homer in all 12 road games tracked. This 0.0% over rate against 0.5 lines represents one of the season's most consistent under trends with -100% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyrone Taylor Home Runs away games?
Bet under on Taylor's home run props in away games with high confidence. His perfect 0-12-0 record reflects structural limitations rather than bad luck. The consistent 0.5 line pricing creates reliable value for under bettors given his minimal power profile on the road.
What's Tyrone Taylor's average Home Runs away games?
Taylor averages exactly 0 home runs in away games against a typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between performance and expectation reflects his contact-oriented approach and limited power upside in unfamiliar road environments throughout the 2024 season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Taylor's home run unders when he's starting road games against quality pitching staffs. His limitations become most pronounced in pitcher-friendly environments where his contact approach struggles. Avoid when he's only pinch-hitting due to reduced sample reliability.