Trevor Williams has been a consistent strikeout over performer, hitting the over in 8 of 14 games (57.1%) while averaging 4.57 strikeouts against a 3.64 line. The nearly one-strikeout differential per game creates solid value. This points to a lean over on Williams strikeout props.
Expert Analysis
Trevor Williams has established himself as a reliable strikeout over play, with his 4.57 average significantly outpacing the typical 3.64 line set by oddsmakers. This 0.93 strikeout differential represents meaningful value that has translated into profitable returns, with overs generating a healthy 9.1% ROI compared to the -18.2% loss on unders. The 57.1% hit rate suggests books may be undervaluing Williams's strikeout ability, possibly due to his reputation as more of a contact pitcher earlier in his career. Williams has evolved his approach, likely incorporating more swing-and-miss offerings that create additional strikeout opportunities beyond what his historical profile suggests. The consistency of this trend across 14 games spanning over a year indicates this isn't merely a hot streak but a genuine shift in his pitching effectiveness. However, the limited sample size and lack of detailed splits data creates some uncertainty about sustainability. The current two-game over streak aligns with his longer three-game over streak, suggesting he can maintain elevated strikeout rates across multiple starts. Williams appears to have found a formula that consistently exceeds market expectations, making his strikeout overs an attractive proposition when the line remains in that 3-4 range.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Williams's consistent outperformance of his strikeout lines, averaging nearly one extra strikeout per game, creates legitimate value that has produced profitable returns. The 57.1% hit rate over 14 games suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his improved strikeout ability. Target this when lines are set around 3.5-4.0, but monitor for any significant line adjustments that might indicate the market is catching up to his enhanced strikeout production.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 8.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-08-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-30 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-07-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-06-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-05-07 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trevor Williams's Strikeouts prop record all games?
Trevor Williams has gone over his strikeouts pitching prop in 8 of 14 games (57.1%) across all games from May 2023 to May 2024. His under record is 6-8, showing consistent over performance that has generated positive returns for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trevor Williams Strikeouts all games?
Lean over on Trevor Williams strikeout props. His 4.57 average significantly exceeds typical 3.64 lines, creating nearly one strikeout of value per game. The 57.1% hit rate and positive ROI support targeting overs when lines are reasonable.
What's Trevor Williams's average Strikeouts all games?
Trevor Williams averages 4.57 strikeouts per game across all situations, compared to his typical line of 3.64. This 0.93 strikeout differential represents substantial value, as he consistently exceeds market expectations by nearly one full strikeout per outing.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Williams strikeout overs when lines are set around 3.5-4.0, which appears to be the sweet spot where books undervalue his ability. Monitor for any significant line adjustments that might indicate the market is catching up to his improved strikeout production.