Trevor Larnach's total bases props present a clear under opportunity with just 33.3% overs across 57 games. His 1.74 average falls 0.6 bases short of the typical 2.31 line, generating +27.3% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors betting under on Larnach's total bases.
Expert Analysis
Trevor Larnach's total bases performance reveals a consistent pattern of underperformance that bettors can exploit systematically. His 19-38 over/under record across 57 games represents one of the more reliable under trends in baseball props, with books consistently overvaluing his base accumulation ability. The 1.74 average against a 2.31 line creates a meaningful 0.6-base gap that translates directly to profit. This isn't a small sample anomaly—57 games provides substantial evidence of a player whose power output doesn't match market expectations. Larnach's profile as a left fielder suggests moderate power expectations, but his actual production consistently falls short of those projections. The -36.4% ROI on overs demonstrates how punishing this market has been for over bettors, while the +27.3% under ROI shows the sustainability of this edge. Most concerning for over bettors is the longest under streak of 10 games, indicating Larnach can go extended periods without reaching inflated total bases lines. His recent streak patterns show volatility, but the underlying numbers point to a player whose ceiling is lower than oddsmakers consistently price.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Larnach's 33.3% over rate and 0.6-base deficit create a sustainable edge that has generated +27.3% ROI on unders. The 57-game sample provides strong evidence of consistent underperformance against market expectations. Target this prop when lines sit at 2.0 or higher, as Larnach's 1.74 average makes these numbers difficult to reach. Primary risk is a hot streak, but his 10-game under streak demonstrates extended cold periods are more likely than sustained power surges.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-31 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 9.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Trevor Larnach's Total Bases prop record all games?
Trevor Larnach's total bases record in all games shows 19 overs and 38 unders across 57 games, resulting in a 33.3% over rate. This represents one of the more reliable under trends, with unders hitting at nearly a 2-to-1 ratio over a substantial sample size.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Trevor Larnach Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Trevor Larnach's total bases props with high confidence. His 1.74 average falls 0.6 bases short of typical 2.31 lines, creating a sustainable edge that has generated +27.3% ROI on unders while overs lose -36.4%.
What's Trevor Larnach's average Total Bases all games?
Trevor Larnach averages 1.74 total bases per game across all situations. This falls significantly short of the typical 2.31 line, creating a 0.6-base deficit that consistently favors under bettors and explains the strong under performance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Larnach's total bases unders when lines are 2.0 or higher, as his 1.74 average makes these difficult to reach. Avoid during hot streaks, but his 10-game under streak shows cold periods are more common than sustained power.