Steven Kwan has been a total bases under machine, hitting just 20% of overs across his last 10 games with an average of 0.8 total bases against a 2.4 line. The -1.6 differential and 52.7% under ROI signal a clear edge. Lean Under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Steven Kwan's total bases struggles reflect a perfect storm of contact-oriented approach meeting diminished power production. His 0.8 average against a 2.4 line represents a massive 67% shortfall, suggesting either the market hasn't adjusted to his current form or underlying factors are suppressing his extra-base hit frequency. The 20% over rate across 10 games isn't just bad luck—it indicates systematic issues with his ability to generate multiple bases per at-bat. Kwan's profile as a high-contact, low-power hitter makes him vulnerable to total bases unders when his timing is slightly off or when facing quality pitching that limits hard contact. The 4-game under streak within this sample shows persistence rather than random variance. However, regression risk exists if this represents an unusually cold stretch rather than a new baseline. The lack of split data prevents deeper context analysis, but the raw numbers suggest Kwan is either pressing at the plate or facing a quality of opposition that's neutralizing his typically reliable contact skills. His approach likely hasn't changed dramatically, making this more about execution and matchup-specific factors than fundamental skill erosion.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 67% shortfall between Kwan's actual production (0.8) and the typical line (2.4) creates clear value on unders, supported by the 52.7% ROI. Target this bet when Kwan faces above-average pitching or in pitcher-friendly parks where his contact-heavy approach struggles to generate extra bases. Main risk is regression to his career norms if this cold stretch ends abruptly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-10 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Steven Kwan's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Steven Kwan has gone over his Total Bases prop just twice in his last 10 games (2-8 record, 20% over rate), averaging only 0.8 total bases per game against typical lines around 2.4.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Steven Kwan Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet under on Steven Kwan's Total Bases props. His 0.8 average is 1.6 bases below typical lines, creating a 67% value gap that has generated 52.7% ROI on unders recently.
What's Steven Kwan's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Steven Kwan is averaging 0.8 total bases over his last 10 games, which is 1.6 bases below the typical 2.4 line—a massive 67% shortfall indicating significant underperformance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Steven Kwan total bases unders when he faces above-average pitching staffs or plays in pitcher-friendly ballparks where his contact approach struggles to generate extra-base production consistently.