Spencer Horwitz has been a total bases under machine over his last 10 games, posting a dismal 1-9-0 record with just 10.0% overs. Averaging only 1.0 total bases against a 2.7 line creates a massive -1.7 differential that screams systematic underperformance. This is a strong under trend with exceptional value.
Expert Analysis
Spencer Horwitz's total bases collapse represents one of the most dramatic underperformances we've tracked this season. The 1.0 average against a 2.7 line isn't just bad luck—it suggests fundamental issues with his approach or role that oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted for. The seven-game under streak indicates this isn't random variance but a sustained pattern of offensive struggles. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—Horwitz isn't alternating between explosive and quiet games, he's simply failing to reach modest totals night after night. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors getting burned repeatedly while chasing positive regression that hasn't materialized. This level of underperformance typically stems from mechanical issues, reduced playing time, or unfavorable matchup sequencing. The fact that his longest over streak is just one game while the under streak has reached seven games demonstrates how entrenched this pattern has become. When a player consistently fails to reach even moderate total bases lines, it often indicates deeper offensive struggles that persist until addressed through rest, adjustments, or role changes.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Spencer Horwitz's total bases props have become virtually automatic unders, with the 1.0 average creating tremendous value against inflated lines. The seven-game under streak shows no signs of breaking, and the -1.7 differential is too significant to ignore. Target this under in any reasonable spot, especially if the line remains above 2.0. The main risk is positive regression, but the consistency of this trend suggests underlying issues that won't resolve overnight.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Spencer Horwitz props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Spencer Horwitz's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Spencer Horwitz has gone 1-9-0 on his Total Bases over/under in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% overs. He's currently riding a seven-game under streak with his longest over streak being just one game during this sample.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Spencer Horwitz Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the under on Spencer Horwitz's Total Bases props with high confidence. His 1.0 average against a 2.7 line creates a -1.7 differential that represents exceptional value, and the seven-game under streak shows this trend has staying power.
What's Spencer Horwitz's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Spencer Horwitz is averaging just 1.0 total bases over his last 10 games compared to his typical 2.7 line, creating a massive -1.7 differential. This represents one of the largest gaps between performance and expectations we've tracked.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Spencer Horwitz Total Bases unders when the line is 2.0 or higher, as his 1.0 average creates maximum value. Avoid if the line drops below 1.5, as that would eliminate the edge this trend provides.