Simeon Woods Richardson presents a perfectly balanced home strikeout profile with a 5-5-0 record and minimal edge either direction. His 4.5 average sits just 0.1 below typical lines, creating a coin-flip scenario with negative ROI on both sides. This is a clear pass situation.
Expert Analysis
Woods Richardson's home strikeout data reveals a pitcher operating in statistical purgatory, where neither overs nor unders provide meaningful advantage. The 4.5 average against 4.6 lines suggests oddsmakers have his home profile dialed in precisely, leaving little room for exploitation. The perfectly even 5-5 split across 10 games indicates his strikeout production lacks the volatility that creates betting opportunities. Most concerning is the negative ROI on both sides, signaling that even when backing the right outcome, the juice is eating profits. The current three-game under streak matches his longest under run, suggesting neither hot nor cold streaks persist long enough to ride. Without velocity data, opposing lineup analysis, or bullpen usage patterns, we're left with a pitcher who performs exactly as expected at home. The lack of split data compounds the problem, preventing identification of favorable matchup spots. Woods Richardson appears to be a steady, unspectacular arm whose home performances cluster tightly around his mean, making prop betting a low-percentage play regardless of direction.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. Woods Richardson's home strikeout props offer zero edge with his perfectly balanced 5-5 record and minimal line differential. The negative ROI on both sides confirms oddsmakers have his home profile locked down. Without clear directional bias or exploitable patterns, this represents dead money regardless of which side you choose.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-06 | OPP | 4.5 | 8.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-04-25 | OPP | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Simeon Woods Richardson's Strikeouts prop record home games?
Woods Richardson has gone 5-5-0 on strikeout props in home games with a 4.5 average against 4.6 lines. This perfectly balanced record across 10 games from April through September shows no directional edge.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Simeon Woods Richardson Strikeouts home games?
Pass on Woods Richardson's home strikeout props entirely. The 5-5 record with negative ROI on both sides offers no betting advantage, making this a coin flip with unfavorable juice working against you.
What's Simeon Woods Richardson's average Strikeouts home games?
Woods Richardson averages 4.5 strikeouts in home games, sitting 0.1 below the typical 4.6 line. This minimal differential indicates oddsmakers have his home performance accurately priced with little room for exploitation.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Woods Richardson's strikeout props at home entirely. His consistent performance around the mean with no exploitable patterns makes this a negative expected value play regardless of timing or conditions.